Eurovision Song Contest
The Dutch seem to complain about the Danish Eurovision Song Contest winner “Only teardrop” reminding them of “I surrender” song by Dutch group “K-otic“. It is close, but probably not sufficiently close to run into copyright problems.
I have tried to listen off the song by ear and entered it into Lilypond (my second attempt with that program). Anna Speller is according to Wikipedia singer in K-otic but I am actually not sure it is her that is the singer of the particular song. The controversial issue must be around the a-b-a-g-e progression in chorus of both songs (there is a Youtuber that claims a chord progression similarity). The two songs are in the same key.
It is around five notes that are similar. The tin whistle of “Only teardrops” has several grace notes that I did not attempt to show. The e-g lead-in in “I surrender” is not present in “Only teardrops. Instead the lead-in punches several times at the a and has an extra note for the extra word compared to “I surrender”.
The text of “I surrender” with “to the beating of my heart” is standard pop lyrics. An Internet search on the phrase will show a number of other songs: “Synching up to the beating of my heart”, “My fingers keep on clicking to the beating of my heart”, “That there’s more to life than listening to the beating of my heart”, …
Interestingly, the “I surrender” has a bagpipe-like sound in the introduction giving it a brief celtic flavor like the “Only teardrops” with its drums and tin whistle.
Ok, so apparently I am not that precise a listener in my first attempt, so here is an update. I will try with a new transcription of the “Only Teardrops” song. Some of the stanzas have a lead-in, “Tell me”, which mimicks the Dutch song. I have also put the grace note on the tin whistle notes. Now the Danish winner song is even closer to the Dutch.
Danish contribution to Eurovision Song Contest 2013 has so low odds that it will be unusual if Denmark’s Emmelie de Forest does not win. However, Ukraine’s fancy video has gained more YouTube views than the Danish with a not necessarily bad song and also has quite low odds.
While I am still trying to accommodate Emmelie de Forest’s tinwhistle you can listen to poor France contribution. They usually have a song that stand out in some respect but hasn’t won for many years. This is a reasonable song, but their odds are around 80-100 and the YouTube views are not exceptional, so France will likely not go home as a winner
Eurovision Song Contest 2012 is live from Baku in the country east of Armenia that is difficult to spell, and the development is followed closely by the Danish Intelligentsia. Here – besides me – Socialdemocrat IT spokesperson former member of parliament Yildiz and leading Twitter journalist Kaare all commenting on the Udmurt grannies.
BTW what happened to the Swiss?
For last year’s Eurovision song contest I predicted that Lena Meyer-Landrut would win, – and indeed she did. For this year I am not so sure.
I jumped in on the second semifinal of the Eurovision 2011 song contest with Austria and was not impressed. Neither did The Netherlands make an impression. Belgian acapella dont win. Slovakian twins did not quite hit the tone and Ukranian sand painting (sic!) was interesting, but the song not. Moldova was an interesting unusuality – but not particularly good. Pop-nation Sweden energetic electropopish Eric Saade had an alright song – bu his stage-singing sounded out-of-breath. Cypres started out folkish, turning a rockish, but … Bulgaria could have benefitted from Avril Lavigne on the mic. Macedonia was not good. The most amazing with that act was the large screen on the stage background put up by the German hosts. Male-turned-female Israeli former Eurovision winner Dana International reaches not his/her heights with her former effective powerpop winner. Slovenia was not Anastacia. Nice dress though. Romania had a promising verse and an ok chorus, a classic Eurovision shuffle, but probably not a winner, – best so far. Favorited Estonia presented an interesting act. Live singing could have been better. Nice orchestration in the verse. “I love Belarus” was a run-of-the-mill. Latvia brought an electric guitar and sang ok. For Danish “New Tomorrow” an ok, but as with other acts the stage singing was not precise enough, – the front spends his time running around on the stage instead of concentrating of the singing. And singback is silly when the musicians pretend to play on their instruments. Ireland’s Lipstick is the winner this semifinal. Good simplistic song. Yeah. However, the YouTube videos I could find had a muddy sound. During the reprise I heard Bosnia and Herzegovina and that was not a winner.
I could put my money on classic tenor French Amaury Vassili’s Sognu. He is sufficiently different to stand out. Remembering that that differentness has previously gotten Norway and Finland to win with folk and hard rock. Part of the piece is unfortunately running to popish.
Like last year Google has a forecast and puts Unser Star F??r D??sseldorf Lena again ahead together with Irish Jedward’s Lipstick. While Lena’s Taken by a stranger is an interesting production with non-Eurovisionistic sound the chorus doesn’t really fly high enough. It has gained quite a number of YouTube views. On the other hand one should think that the intimacy of the song disappears on the big live stage. The live performance in connection with the local German Eurovision contest show a bit of this problem.
Danish TV station DR manages a website with voting and find Sweden ahead with 20% of the votes, followed by 12% scoring Irland. Great Britain to me anonymous boy band gets 11% of the votes, Finland 7% and Bosnien-Herzegovina 5%. France gets only 4%. Also Lena gets only 4%. Sweden is way down in Google’s list and the topping on DR must be due to Danes voting for their geographic neighbor, though in terms of YouTube views Sweden has a high number, – indeed surpasses Lena. Finland’s sympathetic song is probably not strong enough to reach the top.
Bookmakers put France on odds 2.5, Irland on 6 and Lena on 22. What a discrepancy between this odds and Google’s predictions. At odds 22 Lena seems really a bargain. Azerbaijan holds the third best odds and 5 on Google.
Concluding: The prediction of Danish online voting, Google, and the bookmakers are not aligned. The most strange aspect is Google’s and bookmaker’s different opinion on Lena. Yet more confused you can get if you start comparing YouTube views. So who should we put most weight on? Initially I thought the French tenor would carry it home easily not quite having heard all songs, but now I am leaning towards the Irish madness. Ireland would also be the choice if we simply aggregate the three independent predictions: Consensus inference is good.